This time last season Haggas followers were dealing with a famine rather than a feast. The horses were struggling to find any sort of form and from 78 runners in May there were just 12 winners. 40 were sent off 1st and or 2nd favourite producing only 7 winners and from the 14 favourites only 3 won at 8/15, 11/8 and 10/11.
I remember all to well pulling up the drawbridge and waiting for the tide to turn.
Economics win in the Dante at York was a glimmer of hope and although at times 2024 was a roller coaster year we were able to exceed the 200pt profit target.
2025 could not be more different the horses are running brilliantly and confidence is sky high with already in May 8 winners and a 31% strike rate
We have already recommended our first bet of the meeting in the opener at 2.10 York, where if he can deal with the fast ground The Reverend looks ready to outclass his 11 rivals. 4/1 is generally still the price but given the doubt about the ground that could be available in the morning when BOG will be on offer.
Haggas has taken out Elmonjed the favourite in the 2.42 and that position has been handed to the Ryan Moore ridden Two Tribes who will I am sure be very well supported.
On his run behind More Thunder last time out, the 4yo was in the Diary for consideration as a bet. However he is drawn 15 and last season on good to fast ground on the Knavesmire that was a big disadvantage.
Moore will have to be at his brilliant best to get him home as Two Tribes is also a hold up horse and that is usually another huge obstacle to overcome on one of the fastest tracks in the country, that greatly favours horses that can lie up with the pace.
No Bet Recommended
The William Haggas yard has 3 other runners on the day, although no more at York. In the 6.10 Bath Tuesdays Child will be a relatively good price to make her third outing a winning one. However this race could be ran at a crawl and she has not shown quite as much promise as three of her rivals. I will watch with no financial interest. Although if Farragher gets any easy from the front he could nick it but then so could any of the 5 runners !
Cieren Fallon heads to Yarmouth with two rides for the yard and both look to have leading chances.
First up is Mahra’s Love in the 3.00 Yarmouth. On her latest Brighton outing she looks to just about have the beating of the two winners who have to concede her weight and the Gosden horse who has regressed rather than progressed with racing.
The unknown is the unraced Leo’s Choice the mount of Hollie Doyle who looks to have headed to Yarmouth to ride this debutant who could be quick. The market though has opened the filly up at 8/1, which suggests otherwise.
The Haggas team have a 30% strike rate with fancied runners in 2yo and 3yo Novice Stakes and Maidens at the track but Fallon is 0-15 . At odds of around 2/1 I am not prepared to take the chance he can buck that trend !!
No bet Recommended
The horse i am interesting in backing is Another Abbot who sets out to repeat what Maelstrom did over this course and distance and win first time out in the hands of Cieren Fallon in the Yarmouth 4.05.
This son of Harry’s Angel has shown a good deal of pace as a 2yo albeit blunted by soft ground. His opening handicap mark of 70 is fair ( Maelstrom was 68 ) and he could in the same way be too good for the opposition. Well drawn in stall 9 there seems no reason why Fallon will not ride Another Abbot in the same way as Maelstrom who was poorly drawn in stall 2 and make all.
Haggas has a brilliant near 50% strike rate (8 from 17) with 3yo’s going off 1st or 2nd or 3rd favourite in handicaps at the track and providing the money comes for Another Abbot he can increase that percentage. I can’t see it being any bigger than our 7/4 minimum price lets hope that is available.
Unlike the Novices and Maidens Fallon’s strike rate in handicaps on 3yo’s for the yard is 50% with 4 winning rides from 8
Recommended Bet 2pt win Another Abbot 4.05 Yarmouth ( if 7/4 or bigger )
Chrysalis Consortium 
Leave a comment