Race 1 2.30 Queen Mary Stakes
A huge market swing this morning has seen True Love 6/1 -3/1 usurp the unbeaten highly touted filly Zelaina 2/1-7/2 as favourite. This is a big day for Burke and could well set the trend for the rest of the meeting for the North Yorkshire based trainer.
Aiden O’Brien has yet to win the Queen Mary but if she holds her place at the head of the market True Love will be the first runner from the yard to be sent off favourite. Her form with Gstaad, she was sent off 2/5 favourite, now reads very well.
There is a case to be made for backing all the 2yo’s trained by AP O’Brien ridden by Ryan Moore throughout the week. Having missed Gstaad I am not going to follow that pathway but nor will i be opposing any that the pair send out in the 2yo contests this week. Although Kansas in the finale today is now a non runner which opens a door for Rogue Legend (see 6.10)
Any of you that fancy a mutiple on the four that look like the four Moore will ride throughout the week , the last one Moments of Joy still needs to be declared.
Queen Mary – True Love 3/1
Norfolk Stakes Charles Darwin 11/8
Albany Stakes Signour 6/1
Chesham Stakes Moments of Joy 7/2
The Accumulator pays 300/1 but this is only for fun and not a recommended bet on the Diary of a Season Profit Plans
Race 2 3.05 Queens Vase
I am not surprised to see the move for the Grafford trained Asmarani it could be good day for the French raiders. He is inexperienced but potentially offers a touch of class based on his 3 outings, if and it is a big if, he acts on the fast ground.
There is continued support for Rahiebb into a general 6/1 . Don’t forget if it runs well immediately back Merchant in the 3.05 on Thursday this will be a 2pt EW bet even if Rahiebb runs poorly
No Recommended Bet
Race 3 3.40 Duke of Cambridge
Cinderella’s Dream has continued to shorten into 13/8 in places and the Appleby team will be very keen to get this winner on the board. They have not had a winner at the meeting for the past two years and some well fancied runners on Tuesday were disappointing.
That doesn’t put me off Cinderella’s Dream who has had this as her target since Newmarket and I am very sure this her big day. With Wathnan now taking on Coolmore and Goldophin. Despite the early successes in the spring, Appleby will want to continue to shine at the highest level and a win here followed by Shadow of Light in the Commonwealth Cup will be a satisfactory return this week, especially after the last two years.
No other Bet – Already Advised 3pt win Cinderella’s Dream
Race 4 4.20 Prince of Wales
As usual with our bets the market reacted to our Map of Stars advise at 9/2 and its been cut into as short as 7/2 across the board – if the money comes for Los Angeles., hopefully it will drift back to the 9/2 advised.
No other Bet Recommended 2pt win Map of Stars BoG 8.00am Wednesday 4.20 Royal Ascot
Race 5 5.00 Royal Hunt Cup
The gamble on My Cloud seems to have gathered pace despite 5/1 being really short – this is taking on the feel of horse they know is group class running off 95 in a handicap. He will need luck in running and remembering that last years winner Wild Tiger (11/2jt) was the first winning favourite since Forgotten Voice at 4/1 in 2009 there are plenty of losing favourites in his wake.
However, this does look exceptional and at around 4/1 i want to have a 1pt bet to cover the Tokenomics bet.
Additional Bet 1pt win Bet My Cloud in addition to 1pt ew Tokenomics 20/1 already advised.
Race 6 5.35 Buckingham Palace
Having advised the saver on My Cloud at around 4/1 – it may seen strange that i am not going to back Rainbows Edge at 4/1 just 35 minutes later.
That is because having spent a fair time watching the re runs of the races effecting the runners here on balance i think Arisaig is the most likely winner. Also My Cloud is a potential group horse racing off a mark of 95. The same could be said about Rainbow’s Edge but she is off a mark of 104.
No Recommended Bet
Race 7 6.10 Windsor Castle
The almost white Rogue Legend has great speed and drawn in six he should get a good lead from Yogi Bear in stall 10 and also drag with him Old is Gold the main danger in stall 7.
The danger is Rogue Supremacy owned until last week by the same team that were happy to sell Rogue Legend. Ridden to by Danny Tudhope who excels on the straight course at Ascot Rogue Supremacy also is drawn in the centre, where the action looks sure to focus.
However , the speed figure put up by Rogue Legend was exceptional and he in hindsight he would have given Gstaad most to do in the Group 2 Coventry.
His numbers in this listed race, especially with the main O’Brien challenger a non runner , are too good to ignore and the 4/1 is a fair price.
Diary of a Season Recommended Bet 2pt win Rogue Legend 6.10 Royal Ascot
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