Race 1 2.30 AlbanyStakes
Those of you that took my advice and did the O’Brien 2yo Accumulator are sitting with the first two ticked in the boxes going onto leg 3 with the Frankel filly Signora who was 6/1 when i made the suggestion on Wednesday morning. She is now into 5/2, but has more to do than True Love and Charles Darwin.
Venetian Love is very well thought of by Karl Burke who is having a frustrating week. She is owned by Tony Bloom so look out for market support, Fitzella also looks a very useful filly, although her initial form which had looked very solid has been let down this week when put to the acid test.
Gold Digger ls also a potential danger but the O’Brien 2yo bandwagon can keep rolling with Signora.
Race 2 3.05 Commonwealth Cup
Charlie Appleby has not been at the Royal Ascot party this year or the previous two but in Shadow of Light he has a horse that can get him into the spotlight.
As is the case in the Wokingham on Saturday the pace is mainly down the stands side and Shadow of Light should get a good leaf from Arizona Blaze. Ryan Moore has stuck with Whistleblower who is drawn in stall in 11 but stable mate Ides of March is drawn in stall 22 and could be the bigger danger.
Ides of March got beat when a 4pt bet for us at Newbury but everything that could go wrong did go wrong and the winner Symbol of Honour would have been second in the market here behind stable mate Shadow of Light. Shadow of Light is short enough at 2/1 and i think 14/1 about Ides of March is very good value especially if he gets away from the stalls better.
Haggas runs Sky Majesty who is a lovely filly and although there is a question mark on the ground she could well outrun her odds. I dont think the ground will be an issue and I expect a big run here and then we can back her back in Group 2 company.
Recommended Bet 0.5pt ew Ides of March 14/1 1-4 places.
Race 3 3.40 Duke of Edinburgh
The Haggas horse here Caviar Heights is a non runner and the market is headed by the Willie Mullins runner Ethical Diamond but he couldn’t win it last year when 4th as a 7/4 favourite off a mark of 94 from a good draw in 18. Off a 2lb higher mark and a worse draw in stall 7 he is not for me.
I also think Almosh’her was flattered by the win at York when the Haggas trained The Reverend failed to perform. The week has not been good for his trainer Karl Burke and i don’t see that changing here.
Its not a race i will get involved in but can pass on a positive message about War Room and if Hand of God is revitalised in the way that stable companion Kings Gambit was he will go close.
No Bet Recommended.
Race 4 4.20 Coronation Stakes
A bit like the Coventry the interest in this race dissolved with the defection of Lake Victoria. Falakayeh has also promised to be a Group 1 filly and she may be able to dominate, what is a sub standard field without Lake Victoria, and lead all the way exposing a lack of genuine Group 1 pace in her rivals.
No Bet Recommended
Race 5 5.00 Sandringham Stakes
Already Advised 1pt ew Supermodel 15/2.
Owner Saaed Suhail loks set for a good few days and Supermodel is an improving filly who has taken her form to a new level on good to firm ground.
They will be pace among those drawn low with Tahiti in 1 and Sea Poetry in 9 which should negate a slight concern i have about the low draw. This appears to be the only race on the straight course on the final couple of days where the pace angle is not towards the stands rail.
The O’Brien filly Sweet Chariot is towards the head of the market but her trainers win record in handicaps at Royal Ascot is less then 3% so no real need to worry.
In addition to Tahiti Ralph Beckett runs one of my ten follow this season in Dash of Azure who won on her only outing this season. However, the yard is badly under performing and had another heavily backed horse in Sing Us a Song finish down the field on Wednesday, and until they show some sign of returning to form they must be ignored.
We should get another great run from the Haggas filly.
Race 6 5.35 King Edward V11 Stakes
This is all about Amiloc who is many peoples banker of the week and a former 3pt bet that landed another gamble for us backed from 5/2 into 6/5. At Goodwood Amiloc beat the Haggas trained Opportunity easily by 8L. But James Doyle got himself in all sorts of trouble as the horse struggled to handle the track. He will be a lot closer here.
The biggest danger to Amiloc is the Johnny Murtagh trained Zahrann who is a rapid improver and will find out any chinks in the Amiloc armour. However the key factor is the lack of form being show by the Beckett team and it is a race now to watch
Race 7 6.10 Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes
Already Advised 2pt ew Realign
Realign was being trained for a serious attempt at the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup albeit from the position of a ‘lively outsider.’
However, after winning at Salisbury he was given a handicap mark of 93 and the plan was changed to go for this race for which he holds a favourites chance. He would be considered on a par with stable mate Sky Majesty who is rated 110 and was also 25/1 in the Ante Post markets before the final declarations.
Hammer the Hammer is a very quick starter and on a 4 timer but is on a 19lb higher mark than beginning that streak and he has no form on fast ground. He can only run one way and is certain to set the pace, from stall 17.
Doyle can get a good position behind the pace on his inside and get up in the final furlong as Realign’s class kicks in.
Recommended Bets on Day – Don’t miss Newmarket Friday evening update to follow
0.5pt ew Ides Of March 1-5 places 14/1 3.05 Ascot
1.0pt ew Supermodel 1-6 or 1-7 places available
2.0pt ew Realign 1-6 and 1-7 places available
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