For the second time this week on Thursday following Mondays deluge at Windsor, rain that wasn’t forecast at Sandown impacted our only bet when Pergola couldn’t handle the ground. Touch wood the weather looks set fair for Friday and Saturday and Molten Sea in the 6.03 at York can get the weekend off to a winning start.
This ultra tough 4yo filly is one of nine 3pt bets advised this month. Three have won but 3 others have came 2nd and it is fair to say that if the jockeys had the race back all three would have Won.
Molten Sea was given far too much to do in a slowly ran Kempton 2m contest giving the winner a 4l start and then finishing with a rattle to be beaten 3/4L. That was the first time Marquand had ridden tthe filly and Cieran Fallon who knows her really well is back on board on Friday evening.
Everything about the race is perfect for Molten Sea , the flat track, the going, the trip, the draw and the make up of the race. The 4/1 available and 4 places in the 12 runner field makes good sense to take the ew option.
I expect Fallon to be up with the pace from his inside draw and then tough it out probably with the likely favourite Savrola up the home straight. A mark of 74 is still below her potential and i anticipate her winning at least another couple of races this season.
Recommended Bet 1.5pt ew Molten Sea 6.03 York
One of the biggest surprises of the season has been the continued poor running of horses from the Ralph Beckett yard his record of 18 winners so far in June and July is 40% down on 2024 and 2023 when the stable recorded 33 winners each year over the same period. Generally August September and October are their peak months, but it is the current lack of consistency that stops me backing Revoir in the 7.48 at York. This is a Group 1 filly in a listed race and her potential is more than enough to prevent me backing the Haggas trained filly Supermodel who runs here in search of blacktype and 12/1 would reflect her chance.
No Bet Recommended
At Ascot in the 4.45 Raneen reappears having been withdrawn at Newmarket last weekend due to the rain softened ground.
She drops down to 5f having been running at 6f and 7f and there is sense of the team trying out something to get improvement because of a stiff handicap mark and when she last won she looked to need every yard of the 6f trip
No Bet Recommended
In the 6.25 at Chepstow Magic Stone is expected to get off the mark in the 2yo maiden but will be plenty short enough, i suspect at around Even money.
No Bet – Price too short.
Chrysalis Consortium 
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