Haggas Factor Wednesday

Muhaajim goes to post in the 7.37 at Kempton where he has been put in the betting as the 5/2 market leader.

On the book he has little chance of beating Advancing who beat him by over 4l despite having his first run since March on their running behind Dangerman and on a line through that same horse he has little chance of beating Bulletin put in at 9/2 now 10/3

One of the factors about the HagTag feature is that sometimes there is value in opposing the Haggas horses as the price, as is the case here can be greatly overstated.

I think that Muhaajim raced with very little promise, even his maiden win has worked out poorly and both Advancing and Bulletin should beat him at Kempton, unless his first run on the polytrack sparks big improvement, although his run on the AW fibresand offers little encouragement.

That 5/2 will drift possibly to as big as 4 or 5/1. The money has come for Bulletin now into 3/1 but i would just favour Advancing at 4/1 who was very impressive winning on debut over this course.

Wednesday Muhaajim No Bet Recommended