There is not a lot that appeals for betting purposes on Saturday with all eyes on the St Leger and a chance for Tom Marquand to win his second English classic aboard the Aidan O’Brien trained favourite Scandinavia.
Tom won his first English classic in 2020 on Galileo Charm when he was a late replacement for the original jockey who caught Covid
Since his win at Newmarket i have been convinced that Scandinavia is better than this years English and Irish Derby winner Lambourn where the form of both looks way below the normal standard required to win either race. His official rating of 120 flatters him and I have him no higher than 115.
On his demolition of Night Dancer at the July meeting – Scandinavia improved to a level that gives him at least 5lb in hand of everything in this line up and he will need to significantly underperform not to win, with Marquand again the super sub.
Ante Post already Advised 2pt win 5/1 Scandinavia Betfred St Leger.
A quiet Saturday after recent weekends for the Haggas team, who only have one runner at Doncaster with Regalian in the 4.50.
Since the horse refused to win, when we backed him at Musselburgh, going down by a nose, he is a horse I have avoided . Warren Fentiman is given the chance to persuade the 3yo to put his best foot forward but he is not a horse i would trust.
No Bet Recommended
Ceiren Fallon heads to Chester to ride the stable stalwart Hamish in the 2.05 where once again the ground barely looks soft enough for the 8yo. They must be desperate to run him – if its stays dry, i suspect he maybe a non runner. At around Evs money he is a no bet, soft ground is essential for him.
No Bet Recommended
30 minutes earlier in the 1.35 Wild Dahlia, Fallon will be expecting to make his trip to the Roodeye a wining one with this promising 2yo, who showed plenty of ability on debut at Newmarket. She is well drawn in stall 3 but i think she will be around 5/4 which is too short, especially for a 2yo running for the first time at Chester.
No Bet recommended
Two horses with very poor form go to Lingfield Park on the AW. Neither Back to Black in the 1.58 or Seconds Out in the 3.13 have shown anywhere near enough ability to merit consideration as a bet.
No Bet Recommended
That just leaves Al Aasy who travels to Leopardstown with Danny Tudhope replacing Jim Crowley in the Group 3 at 3.50.
The 8yo has 5lb in hand and should win at around 2/1. I said before his last win at Goodwood, that he is a horse i can’t get right and although he will probably win I will watch without investment.
No Bet Recommended.
On Sunday Lou Lous Gift and Showering have very tough tasks in the 4.10 and 2.30 at Doncaster with EW prospects at best in two races that look to be a nightmare for punters to solve.
No Bet Recommended
However the week can end on a happy note with Crown of Oaks running in the 5.35 at the Curragh. He will only be available at around 2/1 in a field of 23 handicappers. But this is a case of ‘the bigger the field the bigger the certainty’ and I am more than happy to get involved. As silly as it sounds if he wins here with a 7lb penalty for his Ascot win – he could well go off at a very similar price in the Cambridgeshire.
The bookies are running scared of Haggas, Bloom and Veitch. But i suspect the money is already down at double figure odds for the Newmarket race, the horse will need to win on Sunday to get another penalty and avoid being balloted out at the final declaration stage.
Recommended 3pt win Crown of Oaks 5.35 Curragh Sunday 2/1 or bigger
Chrysalis Consortium 
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