Author: Russ

Goodwood Day 1 and 2 has been exactly what was ordered. Lake Forest landing our biggest bet of the summer in the Lennox and Tom Marquand back on track getting the better of Oisin Murphy in a thrilling finish aboard Infraad and surviving a Stewards enquiry to land the opener on Wednesday. The 3yo will…

Lake Forest won, but not as expected on Tuesday in the Lennox Stakes. Even though there appeared to be a conspiracy formed by Keane, Mcdonald, Lee and Shoemark to ride their horses not to best effect by setting slow fractionals, Lake Forest and Cieren Fallon were still far to good and although idling inside the…

The incredulous victory of Almeraq at 28/1 in a fast ground Jubilee at Ascot and the gap that opened like the Red Sea in the final 100yds at Longchamp for Maltese Cross has provided Somerville Lodge with two incredible Group 1 victories this season. It is not beyond the realms of possibility that a 3rd…

It maybe still early to state that the Somerville Lodge plan to retain additional older horses in training this year has backfired but the numbers and win strike rate do not at present read especially well. From 119 runners aged 4 or older there have been just 20 winners (Strike Rate 16.8%). In June and…

June and July have proven to be generally well below the high standards set by Somerville Lodge. Thankfully, resulting in only minor losses in our profit and loss account due to a massive cut back in the number of bets placed, and a flying start to the year in April and May. Paradoxically, 2026 will…

A couple of weeks ago we slightly ignored the Somerville Lodge historic trends across the Super Saturday weekend which suggested that possibly 5 winners from the 25 runners was the maximum expected. It turned out only 2 were recorded which thankfully we found from 8 bets advised. We didn’t make the mistake last weekend when…

With just over a week to go the Haggas yard is likely to set a record low for the month of July… The basis for a sole focus on Somerville Lodge for my betting purposes is because of the transparency that William Haggas creates for punters based on his long established methodology. This is largely…

With only 5 runners declared, at first glance the 0-85 Class 4 Handicap at Nottingham on Tuesday looks a tricky betting race . A deeper look at the contest confirms that all 5 have a good chance of progressing sufficiently to win the prize, and the early markets have Distant Shore backed from 9/4 into…

Although the strike rate for July remains at a lowly 13% there was a strong indication over the past seven days that the trials and tribulations of the first part of the month have gone and the rest of the month can be assessed, based on the fact that the horses are running to form.…

The immediate reaction after the dismal performance of the Somerville Lodge horses at Newmarket, York and Ascot on ‘Super Saturday’ was all was not well in the yard. Following a period of due diligence it was apparent that the main issue was that several of the more fancied horses simply couldn’t cope with the lightening…