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The big weekend started well with the win of Infraad in the listed race at Ascot. Although the big gambles on Princling and Rhapsody in St Cloud didn’t come off. Luckily I chose just to watch both although it would be nice if Mikael Barcelona repeats his ride on Rhapsody aboard Daryz on Sunday. 17…

The release of the entries for the Tattersalls Autumn Sales at the end of October as always adds a dimension for punters as there will be an assurance that all those entered will be looking to increase their auction price in races between now and the start of the sales. As we anticipated the group…

Whether its 2yo maidens or nurseries, 3yo novice stakes or handicaps and even the older horses the Somerville Lodge record at Newcastle in the Autumn months, produces a 30-40% strike rate with fancied runners, which means anything 1-2-3 in the market merits serious consideration. I have based all the stats over a 10 year period…

On Wednesday the 6f Class 2 conditions stakes at Kempton, sees the reappearance of the stable stalwart Montassib who runs in preparation for another tilt at Ascot’s Champions Sprint where he will meet stable mate Almeraq. Montassib is already a Group 1 winner but has only been seen on the track on 6 occasions since…

On Wednesday the 6f Class 2 conditions stakes at Kempton, sees the reappearance of the stable stalwart Montassib who runs in preparation for another tilt at Ascot’s Champions Sprint where he will meet stable mate Almeraq. Montassib is already a Group 1 winner but has only been seen on the track on 6 occasions since…

Maltese Cross – Assessing His Arc Chance The realistic chance that Maltese Cross has of winning this year’s Arc de Triomphe will not be fully known until after the draw is revealed on Thursday evening, by which time the amount of rainfall expected to hit the track next week should also be clearer. The race has been…

A very busy Sunday for the yard with Dubai Honour running in the Group 1 Prix Von Europa competing in Germany for a third consecutive year in September after being second two years running in Baden Baden. Valiancy bids to bounce back to form in the Irish Ceserawitch at the Curragh and 4 going to…

The lots for the Tattersalls Autumn Sales are released next Wednesday and it will be very interesting to see how many of the 4/5yo handicappers specifically kept in training this season are put up for sale. The plan this year to keep more older horses in training this season has not worked out as well…

FRIDAY 8.00 am UPDATE ON NEW YEARS EVE HAYDOCK DEBUT Given the poor Autumn record of the yard on the Rowley Mile course backing a horse from Somerville Lodge requires a great deal of deliberation. The surprise win of Zooming at 22/1 on Thursday was not backed up by Mezzo Forte or Arabian Force and…

Regular readers will be well aware that part of my obsession with Somerville Lodge horses is the trackable data and recurring patterns that can provide significant indicators of the chances of the yard’s runners. That applies not only when the trends are positive, but also when they point firmly in the opposite direction. The stable’s…